XAU/USD Technical Analysis
Gold’s price action remains strong, showing no signs of slowing down. Here’s what’s driving the surge:
Uptrend Strength: XAU/USD is pushing the upper limits of an ascending channel from its January 6 low of $2,614.44, suggesting a sustained bullish outlook.
Overbought Conditions: Despite reaching extreme levels, technical indicators remain positive. The Momentum indicator has flattened, but gold trades significantly above its moving averages.
Moving Averages Alignment:
The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is surging north, currently around $2,735.90.
The 4-hour chart shows buyers stepping in on dips to the 20 SMA, leading to higher highs.
The 100 and 200 SMAs continue their upward trajectory, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Gold has entered overbought territory, confirming strong momentum.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels: $2,828.90, $2,812.60, $2,800.00
Resistance Levels: $2,845.60, $2,860.00, $2,875.00
Market Drivers: What’s Fueling Gold’s Climb?
The surge in gold prices is backed by global economic shifts and geopolitical uncertainty. Here’s what’s shaping the market:
China’s Response: China has announced retaliatory tariffs, but their delayed implementation leaves room for a potential resolution before tensions escalate further.
Stock Market Reaction: Despite trade tensions, global markets are stabilizing, with Wall Street seeing gains. The Nasdaq Composite is leading the charge.
U.S. Labor Market Data:
The December Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) revealed a drop in job openings to 7.6 million, down from November’s 8.09 million.
The upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is expected to show 170K new jobs in January, a slowdown from December’s 256K but still indicating a strong job market.
The U.S. Unemployment Rate is projected to remain steady at 4.1%.
What’s Next for Gold?
With gold prices continuing their meteoric rise, investors are eyeing the next resistance levels. Will the rally push beyond $2,875, or is a pullback on the horizon? The coming days will be critical for market watchers and investors looking to protect and grow their wealth through gold.
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