Drivers of Gold's Rise:
Escalating Global Trade Tensions:
Fears of 'trade wars' are heightening, particularly due to uncertainty surrounding US trade policies with countries like Canada, Mexico, and China.
Investors are seeking refuge in assets like gold, traditionally seen as a safe-haven during times of market instability.
2. The Impact of US Policy Changes:
Shifts in US policies are adding to market uncertainty, prompting investors to turn to gold as a protective measure.
The market is closely monitoring these developments, awaiting further updates that could influence gold’s continued rally.
3. US Inflation Concerns:
US inflation, influenced by certain policy measures, has the potential to affect both gold and interest rates.
While high interest rates typically put downward pressure on gold prices, the broader economic landscape could still favor gold's rise depending on upcoming economic policies.
Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD):
On the H4 Chart:
Gold (XAU/USD) formed a consolidation range around $2,689 before breaking through to $2,724.
The market then tested $2,689 from above, and continued its upward trajectory, aiming for a target of $2,761.
A possible correction back to $2,689 is expected, but the bullish momentum remains strong, supported by the MACD indicator.
On the H1 Chart:
The price briefly consolidated around $2,724 before continuing its upward movement.
The immediate target is $2,761, which is likely to be reached soon.
After hitting this level, a correction towards $2,724 or $2,689 is possible. The Stochastic oscillator indicates potential short-term bearish movement before another upward trend.
Conclusion
Gold’s surge to an 11-month high underscores its renewed status as a safe-haven asset amidst growing trade uncertainties and a weakening US dollar. Technical indicators suggest that gold could continue its upward momentum toward $2,761 in the short term, although corrections to lower levels remain a possibility. The future direction of gold will largely depend on developments in US trade policies and inflation, making the market closely attuned to updates from Washington.
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