Silver Gaining Momentum, But Can It Break Above $30.54?
Silver prices edged higher on Tuesday, testing a crucial resistance level just below $30.54. Hovering near the 50-day moving average (MA) at $30.39, the market has displayed resilience, but traders remain cautious. A decisive breakout above these levels could spark a new wave of buying, while failure to hold support could signal a downturn.
A move above $30.54 could push silver towards $30.98, potentially opening the path to $31.81.
A break below the 50-day MA could increase selling pressure, targeting the 200-day MA at $30.08 and another pivot at $29.86.
As of 15:48 GMT, XAG/USD is trading at $30.30, up $0.10 or +0.33%.
Gold's Strength vs. Silver’s Struggles
Gold continues its bullish trend in 2025, trading just below its all-time high of $2,790.17. While gold thrives on safe-haven demand due to a weakening U.S. dollar and falling Treasury yields, silver lags behind, hindered by industrial demand concerns.
Gold/Silver Ratio suggests silver is significantly undervalued, making it an attractive option for investors seeking diversification.
Gold’s surge is fueled by:
Geopolitical risks
Inflation concerns
Federal Reserve’s steady policy outlook
The U.S. dollar’s 0.2% drop on Monday further supported gold, making it more attractive to international buyers.
If gold continues its upward trajectory toward $3,000, silver could benefit from a ripple effect.
Industrial Demand Holding Silver Back
Silver’s price movements are deeply tied to industrial demand, particularly in China and the solar energy sector.
Concerns over China’s economic growth and U.S.-China trade relations have created uncertainty in the silver market.
While gold remains well-supported by macroeconomic trends, silver’s industrial ties have tempered its recovery.
Federal Reserve Meeting: A Pivotal Moment for Silver
The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting could play a crucial role in shaping silver’s next move. While a rate cut is unlikely, investors will analyze the Fed’s stance on future monetary policy.
A dovish tone from the Fed could weaken the dollar, providing a tailwind for silver and gold.
For silver, maintaining support at the 50-day MA ($30.39) will be key.
A break above $30.54 could trigger a rally toward $31.00 and beyond.
Failure to hold support could lead to further declines toward $29.86.
With gold’s stability providing a safe-haven boost, silver could find support. However, industrial concerns and monetary policy uncertainties continue to cloud the outlook. Investors should stay alert as the Fed’s decisions and upcoming inflation data unfold.
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